All Blog Posts (425)

Excerpted from NFTRH137, this segment sort of spontaneously combusted as I was updating the technical and fundamental status for the precious metals sector.  The welling@weeden interview with Mark Lapolla, discussing familiar arguments for deflation, showed up in my inbox several times last week and also appeared at Zero Hedge.  Thus, I have to assume it made its way in no small degree into the public investor psyche - and…

This week's edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole extrapolated the violent changes in the gold-silver ratio into an intermediate view of macro markets.  We reviewed topping structures across various commodities and importantly, gold's ratio to these commodities, as this is primary to the investment case for premier gold stocks, both producers and explorers.  Targets have been set…

I've been long SPX since the September 2010 bottom and an aggressive buyer on pullbacks.  Today I exited all long trades and went to 100% cash and then even took on a small short position.  My current analysis shows ample reason to conclude that stocks and commodities are in the early stages of a significant correction.  Here's my SPX trading record…

05/01/11 BullBear Market Report

by Steven Vincent

BullBear Trading

INTRODUCTION

In the last BullBear Market Report, I called for a minor near term correction to support that would be a buying opportunity, and we got just that.  The market…

A few times a year, I like to release the complete text of an edition of my BullBear Market Report.  Here's the report issued on March 17th in which I called the bottom to the Middle East/Japan panic sell off (after having previously identified the February top).  Following the report are some of my subsequent updates to the report with comments and questions from BullBear Traders members.  I hope this helps you in your trading and investing.

Steven…

In the last BullBear Market Report, I called for a bottom to the Middle East/Japan panic selloff while at the same time laying out the parameters for a bearish turn in the markets.  The bearish conditions did not come to fruition and BullBear Traders were able to catch the exact bottom of the move after having lightened their positions at…

Here's the Introduction to the latest BullBear Market Report:

In recent BullBear Market Reports I was able to successfully identify the apparent Wave 3 of (3) top at SPX 1344.  I advised BullBear Trading members that I was taking 40% of my long position off the table and closing long positions in Nikkei as well as exiting short US Treasuries.  I might have taken more of the position off but there was some doubt, until the Japan Panic hit, about the degree of the correction at…

Here is the latest pick from Faizan's Stock Picks

"Interphase Corp. (INPH) is a technology company which specializes in computer peripherals. As of now it is trading at $5.20 a share. Interesting formations are appearing on INPH's chart which I would like to point out.

The following chart is a daily chart for INPH with an Ichimoku cloud…

Here's the introduction to the latest BullBear Market Report:

The fear of a disruptive pan-Arabic revolution appears to have triggered a correction in world equities markets. Today’s high marked the B wave of an ABC corrective pattern and C down is now underway. My take at this time is that the downward correction is not yet over and a better buying opportunity lies ahead.…

Here's the introduction to the latest BullBear Weekend Report:

Introduction

US equity…

2/7/11

Closing Comments:

We have quite some distance to travel (1291.50 and 1296.25)

In order to cancel out the active up extensions (1321.00 and 1330.25)

It appears we reach the up extensions (1321.00 and 1330.25) before reaching the upper walls (1291.50 and 1296.25)

Do I see the market differently…

2/4/11

7:06EST

Since last night; I’ve been trying to figure out;

how to write this update.

I don’t like writing these types of updates;

Meaning so extreme..

ESH11:

A strong sell on the ALL the time frames

Only reaching 1320.00 cancels out the now and immediate term…

2/3/11

9:20EST

Crude: (March –CLH11)

We flipped over on the time frames

From 480 -540 minute to the 60 minute time frame

60 minute time frame

90.95 is the original OAV

90.58 is the new OAV

90.00 is the floating OAV

a few minutes ago we pushed off from the…

2/3/11

9:03EST

Silver:

we just pushed off from the key OAV (28.14(5)

as such it must reach 29.33 and 29.42

28.58 is the key resistance (now term)

29.09 reaching or not is also quite profound

not reaching 29.33

adds to the downside compression

remember…

2/3/11

7:51EST

ESH11:

Yesterday’s price action was clearly consolation before the next move up

This should begin soon

Although the initial price action will extremely choppy

From current levels (1298.00) down to 1296.50 then

Up to 1306.25

Then an immediate pullback 10…

2/1/11

Closing Comments:

USD:

It MUST trade above 77.10

If not it enters a down extension to 76.65

Although as such at 76.94 it bounces

Not taking out today’s low (77.06(5)

Moves the reversal door handle (79.91)

and also the big reversal door handle…

1/31/11

4:40EST

Silver: (March contract)

It’s been a while since I updated the Silver

Due to the fact

There was no major change

Although we now have a minor change (immediate to short term)

Long Term:

No change

Up to 33.97

Staying above 19.50 to 21.18

The bull trend continues (33.97)

Immediate to Short term:

The last update was as such

Down to 25.27 to 25.51

At these…

Here's the introduction to the latest BullBear Weekend Report:

It's widely accepted that stocks are in a correction at this time.  The question remains: "what kind of a correction and how long and how deep will it go?".  My analysis has been and continues to be that we are in the initial stages of a bull market (in Elliott Wave terms SPX is currently in Wave 3 of a five wave bull run).  While…