Long Term B-Wave Top Has Finally Arrived

As regular readers of the BullBear Market Report know, I have been expecting to see a B-wave high in a largely sideways long term formation. It seems to me that chances are fairly high that we have seen the top of the B-wave rally off the September 2022 low. The next move is then a C-wave decline, the third movement in the pattern that started with the top made in December 2021.…

Happy New Year! The first week of the year saw a substantive decline in the stock indices, particularly in the leading tech stocks, and if the following week results in a further decline, this would likely confirm that a more substantive and accelerating drop will ensue. Long term I remain bullish and I do not expect to see lower lows in most indices. Some indices may in fact remain resilient and diverge from the larger decline.

2024 is set to be a watershed year in virtually…

EWT’s Hochberg continues his pathetic gibberish in the guise of wise Buddha like sayings:

’Inertia grips the S&P 500 as today’s 0.39% trading range was the smallest of the year, as shown on the Bloomberg chart above. Low volatility precedes high volatility and inaction leads to action, so expect some wide-ranging days in the not-too-distant future.’

No specificity, no plan or action of how to use this…

Is it a concern when a long term super bear all of a sudden begins calling for new highs?  Even when those new highs are part of coming ‘Armageddon’?  Because EWT is now calling for that!

Hochberg is now calling for new highs (of course, the odds favor that outcome.  The market is in an historic bull advance).  

But for about 10 months straight, in the face…

Elliott Wave International: Short and simple

I am not sure they fully understand that for most people, the purpose of the markets is, quite simply, to make money. An indication they might not share your goal (or any trader/investor’s goal) is they never provide practical guidance for trades.

For them, it seems that the more arcane the analysis the better. That seems their purpose. Not making money.  In fact, they apparently are so disinterested in making money,…

Robert Prechter/Steven Hochberg write a market update Monday, Wednesday, Friday.

The US stock market is open 6.5 hours per day, so they ‘update’ three times in a 33 stock market hours week, every week.  Or approximately every 11 hours.

From March 2020 to November 2020 occurred one of the strongest bull market advances in the US stock market in decades.  It was a highly persistent,…

Robert Prechter was named guru of the decade by FNN (the CNBC forerunner) in about 1989.  Prechter made excellent market calls from the late 1970’s through 1987.  

Since then, he has been consistently wrong. Wrong for over 30 years (3 decades!).  Not just wrong on the stock market, passionately wrong.  Now, there have been 4 very significant bear markets from 1988 onward, and because Prechter = bearish, he was bearish in front of them.  But he has been bearish for over 30…

As regular subscribers to the BullBearMarket Report know, I have been tracking the onset of a long term Secular Systemic Shift since the last bull market began in 2011.  In 2018 I began pointing towards 2020 as the year that "Shift happens".  I think it's hard to dispute that, indeed, 2020 has proven to be a watershed year.

At this time we are less than a month away from the November 3 U.S. election and there is…

When the Elliott Wave Theorist (subscription service, pay to get your advice) issues a market opinion, I imagine Jimmy Cagney holding a machine gun at your head saying "you dirty rat".  Then firing dozens of bullets. 

Why this imagery and comparison?  Imagine you want to kill someone financially (and demoralize them too!).  How would you do it? Well,, the way they do it is a pretty good model.  Make very strong impassioned arguments against the large trend in force so that people bet…

Robert Prechter and EWI are in the business of providing market forecasts in exchange for subscription fees.  The main markets they seem to cover are the stock markets, interest rates, precious metals, and the US Dollar.

Amazingly, they manage to get every single market’s major trend wrong consistently.

Wrong on the stock markets, bonds, gold, silver, the US…

The service is called SHORT-TERM UPDATE (updated 3 X per week).

EWI and Hochberg have missed every important stock market rally and precious metals rally in the past 5-6 months (as of July 2020).  

Actually, it is much worse than that, they have actively been on the wrong side, meaning they have been extremely bearish during these trends.

Comments such as 'it's time for gold to top', and similar comments like that, are understandable in people…

Steve Hochberg at Elliott Wave Int'l is really a useful lesson in how NOT to approach (or trade) markets.   Here is what I mean. He and the service (Short Term Update & their monthly report) are extremely bearish, and that has been true for nearly ever, and especially from the March 2020 lows. 

He has been harping on sentiment indicators for months (almost from the lows in late March 2020 too,…

It is remarkable the disrespect the Elliott Wave Theorist’s Steven Hochberg shows to the markets (and by extension his clients).  



Gold has been in bull markets for many months (4 + years) and they (EWT and Hochberg) have been bearish for a good % of gold’s price advance. Accompanied by a high degree of confidence.  



Sometimes after gold rises above Hochber’s previously identified ‘The High’ or (the 5th of the 5th (etc), destroying his analysis, he will then say ‘we wait…

What I am amazed at is the lack of a serious trading approach.  No stops, no possibility they could be wrong, full on extremism in the call for a drop in the market dead ahead (and it's been like that for a long time).  They suffer from a complete lack of objectivity.  For them, nothing (or practically nothing) is or has been bullish in many years.  Every market event is seen as bearish, every social feature is seen as bearish.  They seem to practice a cult like message - we are the ones who…

Few readers will be unaware that our current era has been widely regarded as the Information Age.  The preceding epoch of the Industrial Revolution, marked by the production, distribution and consumption of goods, is regarded to have been superseded by a world increasingly dominated by the creation, collection, storage, collation, processing, distribution and consumption of Information.  1970 seems to be a generally…

(The following is the Introduction to the latest BullBear Market Report, "Apocalypse Now? The Secular Shift at the Crest of the Long Wave")

The last BullBear Market Report, issued on August 26, 2019, was entitled "…

(The following is the Introduction to the latest BullBear Market Report, "Secular Long Wave Building Towards 2020 Final Top")

I've been maintaining for quite some time that the current bull market is the final 5th wave of a Long Wave that goes back to 1949 and that when it comes to an end it will represent a paradigmatic shift of multi-generational proportions.  Financial,…