There is some activity today with Russia and other BRIC nations selling their currencies against USD because their currencies are getting too strong. They are starting to talk intervention. Maybe this is the catalyst to turn the dollar, that politicians in a number of nations are getting uncomfortable with the weak dollar
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Added by pm on November 12, 2009 at 5:52am —
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InTheMoneyStocks.com breaks out the key technical analysis techniques they have become famous for. They analyze the charts on the market to showcase their technical trend line analysis, price, pattern and time values. By utilizing these methods and not using the common technical tools which almost never work anymore, they are able to call every major and minor market move avoiding Wall Street hype. InTheMoneyStocks.com looks at major support and resistance levels… Continue
Added by Bryan Leighton on November 11, 2009 at 3:31pm —
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Haven't shown these for a while, these exponential trendlines are of a larger order and presumably more resilient then the micro trendlines I've been showing lately. These confirm the topping action suggested by other methods/ indicators. Note the .500 time node we happen to be at in the top chart... That's one of the important warnings in this system of trend change...…
Steven - in regard to your recent post about the dollar being sold heavily - what does that mean for people who are short the market? Time to close positions?
I spent my morning reading through various market blog and news sites. I do this from time to time to gauge market sentiment.
I found very few posts expecting a decline in equities. The few posts that were bearish were tentatively so. None were decidedly bearish. I have found recently that many long time bears have turned bullish in the last 3 weeks and now that a decline may be setting up they are sticking to their new bullish position.
On the $SPX the highlighted green trendline will be at 1074.72, tomorrow, and for the $NDX the highlighted orange trendline will be at 1727.02. Both trendlines will normally be exceeded slightly before they will stop an advance. If they are exceeded by too much, then obviously something totally different is happening, and the markets have apparently not really topped...…
I rarely make such pronouncements, but I think the evidence points to a substantial selloff in stocks and a very large rally in the USD commencing immediately. Commodities, including precious metals, should also participate in the downside.
I have been reluctant to counter trend trade since March, but since the uptrend is violated and there is a short term downtrend we can go ahead and put on a reasonable short position. My target is the 200 EMA on the SPX.…